2022 NASCAR at Darlington picks, odds, playoff predictions: Mannequin fades Chase Elliott at Cook dinner Out Southern 500

September 4, 2022

After a second-place end at Richmond and an eighth-place exhibiting at Watkins Glen, issues did not go in keeping with plan final weekend for Christopher Bell at Daytona. Of the 16 drivers that had their day ended prematurely by an accident, Bell was one of many first to crash out after simply 30 laps. Bell ended the season as a top-10 driver within the level standings, so can he rebound as an 18-1 longshot within the newest 2022 Cook dinner Out Southern 500 odds at Caesars Sportsbook?

Bell completed sixth within the final NASCAR at Darlington occasion in Could, however hasn’t had one other exhibiting inside the highest 10 in any of his earlier 5 Cup Collection races there. Final yr’s winner, Denny Hamlin (13-2), might be a reputation to contemplate in your NASCAR at Darlington finest bets, however he’ll have to carry off different 2022 Cook dinner Out Southern 500 contenders like Kyle Larson (11-2), Chase Elliott (13-2) and Martin Truex Jr. (8-1). Earlier than scouring the 2022 Cook dinner Out Southern 500 beginning lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Darlington predictions, you’ll want to see the most recent NASCAR at Darlington picks from SportsLine’s confirmed projection mannequin.

Developed by day by day Fantasy professional and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction mannequin simulates each race 10,000 instances, taking into consideration components equivalent to observe historical past and up to date outcomes.

Within the 2021 season, McClure’s mannequin nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a powerful 3-1 payout. Then it known as Elliott to win at Highway America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s mannequin additionally known as Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks earlier than nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to assert the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. In whole, it nailed 5 of Larson’s wins throughout a historic season.

See also  Damp Leg evaluation-- 2022's outbreak indie celebrities on comically excellent kind|Damp Leg

To this point in 2022, it was excessive on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a much better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The mannequin was additionally excessive on Joey Logano earlier than he gained as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and excessive on Logano once more when he returned 14-1 on his win in St. Louis. In early August, it was a lot increased on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick went on to seize the win at Michigan. Anybody who adopted its lead on these performs noticed large returns.

Now, the mannequin simulated the 2022 NASCAR at Darlington race 10,000 instances. Head to SportsLine to see the whole projected 2022 Cook dinner Out Southern 500 leaderboard.

Prime 2022 NASCAR at Darlington predictions

For the 2022 Cook dinner Out Southern 500, the mannequin is excessive on Joey Logano, although is a 10-1 longshot within the newest 2022 NASCAR at Darlington odds. Logano completed simply outdoors of the top-10 final weekend at Daytona, however completed in sixth place or higher within the 4 races earlier than that. Earlier this season, Logano gained the Goodyear 400 at Darlington after main for 107 of the race’s 293 laps.

See also  Cornell Nexus Students Program Debuts in Summer season 2022

Logano begins the NASCAR Cup Collection playoffs ranked second, and is trailing by simply 18 factors behind top-seeded Elliott. He has completed within the top-10 in three of the earlier 4 occasions he is raced at Darlington along with his win earlier this season. Logano ought to come out able to go on the oval, as he’s eighth in move differential amongst all drivers with 190, and fourth in high quality passes with 1,516. See which different NASCAR underdogs to select right here.

And an enormous shocker: Elliott, one of many Vegas favorites at 13-2, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the highest 5. Whereas Elliott does have three profession prime 5 NASCAR Darlington finishes, he has simply as many finishes outdoors the highest 30 on the Girl in Black. His common end of 17.4 in 11 begins at this observe ranks simply sixteenth amongst energetic drivers.

Elliott has a historical past of struggling within the first race of the playoffs and has completed twentieth or worse in three of the final 4 playoff openers. That features a twentieth place the yr he gained the Cup Collection championship (2020) after which a crash prompted him to complete thirty first the subsequent yr. Each of these races additionally had been at Darlington, so there are much better values within the 2022 Cook dinner Out Southern 500 beginning lineup. See which different favorites to keep away from right here.

See also  Abortion looms over 2022 state ballots

How you can make 2022 NASCAR Darlington picks

The mannequin can also be concentrating on three different drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Darlington odds of 10-1 or longer to make a critical run on the checkered flag. Anybody who backs these drivers may hit it huge. You possibly can see the entire mannequin’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Cook dinner Out Southern 500 2022? And which lengthy photographs make a run on the checkered flag? Try the most recent 2022 NASCAR at Darlington odds beneath, then go to SportsLine now to see the complete projected 2022 NASCAR at Darlington leaderboard, all from the mannequin that accurately predicted 5 of Kyle Larson’s wins final season. 

2022 Cook dinner Out Southern 500 odds, area

See full NASCAR Darlington picks, finest bets, and predictions right here

Kyle Larson 11-2
Chase Elliott 13-2
Denny Hamlin 13-2
Martin Truex Jr 7-1
Kyle Busch 8-1
Tyler Reddick 17-2
Ross Chastain 10-1
Joey Logano 10-1
Kevin Harvick 14-1
Ryan Blaney 15-1
William Byron 15-1
Christopher Bell 18-1
Alex Bowman 24-1
Daniel Suarez 35-1
Ty Gibbs 40-1
Chase Briscoe 40-1
Austin Dillon 50-1
Austin Cindric 60-1
Erik Jones 70-1
Bubba Wallace 75-1
Chris Buescher 75-1
Aric Almirola 80-1
Brad Keselowski 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse 125-1
Michael McDowell 150-1
Justin Haley 300-1
Cole Custer 300-1
Ty Dillon 500-1
Daniel Hemric 750-1
Harrison Burton 750-1
Todd Gilliland 1500-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Landon Cassill 2500-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1