2022 NASCAR playoffs at Bristol odds, predictions: Mannequin fades Chase Elliott at Bass Professional Outlets Night time Race

September 16, 2022

The 2022 NASCAR Playoffs will proceed on Saturday evening when Bristol Motor Speedway hosts the Bass Professional Outlets Night time Race with the inexperienced flag scheduled to drop at 7:30 p.m. ET. The sector of 16 postseason drivers can be lower to 12 following the race and two-time NASCAR Cup Collection champion Kyle Busch is at present proper on the bubble. Busch is thirteenth within the 2022 NASCAR standings and sits two factors behind Austin Cindric and Tyler Reddick, so he’ll nonetheless have a chance to race his means into the Spherical of 12 with a strong efficiency on the 0.533-mile oval.

Busch is an eight-time winner at Bristol with three wins within the Bristol Night time Race and he is listed at 8-1 within the 2022 Bass Professional Outlets Night time Race odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Denny Hamlin is the 11-2 favourite whereas final yr’s NASCAR at Bristol winner Kyle Larson is listed at 13-2 within the Bristol Night time Race odds. Earlier than scouring the 2022 Bass Professional Outlets Night time Race beginning lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Bristol predictions, make sure you see the most recent NASCAR at Bristol picks from SportsLine’s confirmed projection mannequin.

Developed by day by day Fantasy professional and SportsLine predictive knowledge engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction mannequin simulates each race 10,000 occasions, bearing in mind elements akin to monitor historical past and up to date outcomes.

Within the 2021 season, McClure’s mannequin nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a powerful 3-1 payout. Then it referred to as Elliott to win at Highway America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s mannequin additionally referred to as Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks earlier than nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to say the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. In complete, it nailed 5 of Larson’s wins throughout a historic season.

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Thus far in 2022, it was excessive on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a much better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The mannequin was additionally excessive on Joey Logano earlier than he received as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and excessive on Logano once more when he returned 14-1 on his win in St. Louis. In early August, it was a lot greater on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick went on to seize the win at Michigan. Anybody who adopted its lead on these performs noticed enormous returns.

Now, the mannequin simulated the 2022 NASCAR at Bristol race 10,000 occasions. Head to SportsLine to see the entire projected 2022 Bass Professional Outlets Night time Race leaderboard.

Prime 2022 NASCAR at Bristol predictions

For the 2022 Bass Professional Outlets Night time Race, the mannequin is excessive on Martin Truex Jr., although he is a 15-1 longshot within the newest 2022 NASCAR at Bristol odds. He is a goal for anybody searching for an enormous payday. A season that produced 16 completely different winners noticed Truex ignored of the NASCAR playoffs for the primary time since 2014 however the 2017 NASCAR Cup Collection champion has nonetheless run nicely for the reason that postseason started.

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Truex led 48 laps at Darlington earlier than a water pump failure led to a Thirty first-place end after which completed fifth final week in Kansas. Final yr within the Bristol Night time Race, he began on the pole and led seven laps earlier than ending seventh. See which different NASCAR underdogs to select right here.

And an enormous shocker: Chase Elliott, one of many Vegas favorites at 15-2, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the highest 5. There are much better values within the 2022 Bass Professional Outlets Night time Race beginning lineup. The 2020 NASCAR Cup Collection champion received 4 races this yr to guide all drivers however he is at present seventh within the 2022 NASCAR standings after a pair of disappointing runs to begin the postseason.

Elliott completed thirty sixth with a DVP at Darlington after which completed eleventh final week in Kansas. He is by no means received in 11 profession Cup begins on the asphalt at Bristol Motor Speedway and has completed outdoors the highest 20 in two of his final three begins on the enduring monitor. See which different favorites to keep away from right here.

How you can make 2022 NASCAR Bristol picks

The mannequin can also be concentrating on two different drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Bristol odds of 10-1 or longer to make a critical run on the checkered flag. Anybody who backs these drivers might hit it large. You’ll be able to see all the mannequin’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

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So who wins the Bass Professional Outlets Night time Race 2022? And which lengthy photographs make a run on the checkered flag? Try the most recent Bristol Night time Race odds beneath, then go to SportsLine now to see the complete projected 2022 NASCAR at Bristol leaderboard, all from the mannequin that accurately predicted 5 of Kyle Larson’s wins final season. 

2022 Bristol Night time Race odds, subject

See full NASCAR Bristol picks, finest bets, and predictions right here

Denny Hamlin 11-2
Kyle Larson 13-2
Chase Elliott 15-2
Christopher Bell 8-1
Kyle Busch 8-1
Kevin Harvick 17-2
Tyler Reddick 10-1
Ross Chastain 14-1
Joey Logano 14-1
Ryan Blaney 14-1
Martin Truex Jr. 15-1
William Byron 15-1
Bubba Wallace 17-1
Alex Bowman 28-1
Ty Gibbs 40-1
Daniel Suarez 40-1
Chase Briscoe 40-1
Erik Jones 50-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Austin Cindric 60-1
Aric Almirola 75-1
Ricky Stenhouse 100-1
Brad Keselowski 100-1
Chris Buescher 125-1
AJ Allmendinger 125-1
Michael McDowell 200-1
Cole Custer 300-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Ty Dillon 750-1
Harrison Burton 1000-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Todd Gilliland 2500-1
JJ Yeley 2500-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Jos Bilicki 5000-1