2022 NFL MVP odds, picks: Justin Herbert, Josh Allen greatest bets, plus extra employees award picks

September 2, 2022

The exhibitions are within the rear-view mirror and we’re on to the 2022 common season. Earlier than the motion actually kicks off between the Payments and Rams within the opener on Sept. 8, we right here at CBS Sports activities must name our photographs. The NFL employees has come collectively and made its predictions for numerous awards that’ll be handed out previous to Tremendous Bowl LVII and we’re about to disclose them under. 

Whereas a few of these are straight-up predictions for the awards, others spotlight some good worth on the betting market, supplying you with a extra well-rounded have a look at the place a number of the video games largest stars stand getting into the 12 months. Earlier than we get began, this is a rundown on the employees members making the picks: Choose Six Podcast host Will Brinson; Senior NFL Draft analyst Ryan Wilson; employees writers John Breech, Jared Dubin, Jordan Dajani, Josh Edwards, Shanna McCarriston, Tyler Sullivan, and Cody Benjamin. 

All NFL odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook.

Key MVP odds

Brinson: Trey Lance (+3000). Why not? Second-year QB who sat out a season studying behind a veteran now will get to play in a QB-friendly offense with a high-level play-caller and tons of weapons who can explode whenever you get them the ball in house. Sounds quite a bit just like the Chiefs and Mahomes a couple of years in the past. And in case your argument is Lance runs an excessive amount of, Lamar’s 2019 season checks some packing containers too. 

Dajani: Justin Herbert (+900). A particular passer that’s simply getting higher. With an improved roster, he might be proper within the thick of the MVP combine all 12 months lengthy.

Edwards: Tom Brady (+900). It could not be a shock if Tampa Bay gained the NFC. Narratives typically play a job in award outcomes and Brady taking part in his potential remaining season at 45 years previous shouldn’t be ignored. In the meantime, the AFC might cannibalize itself with the entire expertise.

Wilson: Justin Herbert (+900). He will make a legit case as one of the best participant within the league. Higher than Mahomes, Allen, Brady or Rodgers.

Dubin: Josh Allen (+700). He had a reasonably good case in every of the final two seasons, and I feel that is the 12 months he lastly breaks by means of because the Payments take management of an extremely powerful AFC. The choices Buffalo has personnel-wise will unleash one of the best model of Allen we have seen up to now. 

McCarriston: Allen (+700). Allen has made his mark within the league and it’s his time to get the regular-season MVP honor. He is been within the dialog earlier than, however I feel this 12 months he’ll just do that rather more to get the award. He has the extensive receivers, the expertise and the succesful head coach, all substances that may make for an MVP-level season. The Payments actually ought to’ve already been to a Tremendous Bowl with Allen main the offense, if not gained one already, and I feel the drive to excel this season will push Allen additional than he has been earlier than.

Benjamin: Justin Herbert (+900). Nobody has a greater, extra full supporting forged on each side of the ball, a minimum of on paper. And he is already bought all of the bodily instruments.

Sullivan: Patrick Mahomes (+800). Even with the departure of Tyreek Hill, Mahomes remains to be going to place up his numbers. I additionally nonetheless see the Chiefs as the favourite within the AFC West. So, if he is ready to nonetheless produce to the extent that we have grown accustomed to and goes by means of the gauntlet of his division, I do not see why Mahomes would not be on the forefront of the MVP dialog. 

See also  Roberto Clemente Award 2022 nominees

Breech: Josh Allen (+700). Sooner or later, somebody not named Aaron Rodgers goes to win this award and I feel that is going to occur this 12 months with Allen. 

Offensive Rookie of the 12 months greatest bets

Brinson: George Pickens (+1000): That is an inconceivable award to foretell this season, with so few quarterbacks and the odd locations a number of the studs ended up touchdown. Pickens appears like the true deal and if he sees legit reps for the Steelers may very well be a monster.

Dajani: Breece Corridor (+1100). With Zach Wilson’s struggles within the go recreation, New York will depend on the bottom recreation. It will give Corridor the chance to impress.

Edwards: Kenny Pickett (+900). As of this second, Pittsburgh has not named a starter at quarterback. Whereas Mitchell Trubisky is the possible end result, it might be unwise to disregard the first-round choice given the benefit quarterbacks have relating to successful award. Drake London and Treylon Burks might additionally put up huge numbers.

Wilson: Kenny Pickett (+900). This appeared like a foolish guess a couple of weeks in the past however he was a nice shock within the preseason and whereas I do not count on him to begin the season, I would not be shocked if he is underneath heart as quickly as Week 3.

Dubin: George Pickens (+1000). With no apparent quarterback or operating again candidate, I am pivoting to a large receiver. I cherished Pickens pre-draft and the whole lot we have seen from him throughout coaching camp has solely confirmed my emotions about what kind of participant he’s. 

McCarriston: George Pickens (+100). George Pickens is slated to have a giant rookie season and regardless of the quarterback scenario not being settled but, based on head coach Mike Tomlin, I consider he could have an important 12 months. Pickens had a good preseason and has impressed in coaching camp. Every thing proper now’s pointing to Pickens having a highlight-worthy 12 months.

Benjamin: George Pickens (+1000). Kenny Pickett is the safer alternative assuming he finally takes over at QB, however this man has the juice to be the following huge factor out extensive.

Sullivan: Kenny Pickett (+900). It is solely a matter of time earlier than Pickett is known as Pittsburgh’s starter. By what we noticed through the preseason, he appears able to ascend to QB1 proper now. Given his place, he’ll be a shoe-in to win this award as long as he sees the sector in comparatively quick order. 

Breech: Romeo Doubs (+1400). Aaron Rodgers may not win his third straight MVP, however he is doubtless nonetheless going to have an enormous season and Doubs goes to be the most important benefactor of that. 

Defensive Rookie of the 12 months greatest bets

Brinson: Travon Walker (+850). One other powerful award, however must go together with a go rusher right here. As such, I am going to take the younger man on my shock division winner, particularly since him going first general was such a win through the draft. Move rushers are the straightforward picks right here and he will not face double groups with Allen on the town.

See also  Week 3 NFL picks, odds, 2022 predictions, finest bets from high knowledgeable: This 3-way soccer parlay pays out 6-1

Dajani: Travon Walker (+850). A flexible go rusher who will get higher as his rookie season goes on.

Edwards: Kayvon Thibodeaux (+600). The preseason introduced a little bit of a scare when the Oregon product was lower blocked. In current historical past, Defensive Rookie of the 12 months has gone to a participant with a minimum of 9 sacks. Thibodeaux is a dynamic expertise who can attain that threshold. The one concern is whether or not New York might be aggressive sufficient to power opponents to go late into video games.

Wilson: Aidan Hutchinson (+450). He has an opportunity to be particular, and he’ll be an vital piece to the Lions’ line of defense this season. If he can get to 9 sacks — and that feels eminently affordable — he’ll be in nice form for DROY.

Dubin: Sauce Gardner (+1200). This award normally comes all the way down to sacks or picks. I suppose I am betting he has a flashier-looking interception whole than Aidan Hutchinson’s sack whole.

McCarriston: Travon Walker (+850). My choose for Defensive Rookie of the 12 months is Jacksonville Jaguars linebacker Trayvon Walker. He was the No. 1 choose on this 12 months’s NFL Draft, so he clearly has the resume to again up his talents. Many No. 1 picks find yourself not dwelling as much as their anticipated potential, however his coaching camp and preseason performances present he’s shortly adjusting to the NFL.

Benjamin: Aidan Hutchinson (+450). Sure, it is the secure choose, however he is bought the grown-man energy to immediately headline Detroit’s beforehand quiet go rush.

Sullivan: George Karlaftis (+2000). A little bit of a protracted shot right here, however the first spherical choose is taking part in on a staff that might be within the thick of the AFC playoff race all season and may put up some respectable sack numbers. That is an ideal recipe to win this award. 

Breech: Sauce Gardner (+1200). Sauce already has his personal sauce at Buffalo Wild Wings and fairly quickly he’ll have the ability to eat his sauce out of the rookie of the 12 months trophy he will get as a result of he will win the award.  

Defensive Participant of the 12 months greatest bets

Brinson: Derwin James (+5000). Sometimes talking it’s worthwhile to submit sack numbers to win this award, however Derwin has such an unimaginable all-around recreation it would not be shocking in any respect if he ended up netting some {hardware} with a completely wholesome season on a Chargers staff that wins 12+ video games.

Dajani: Micah Parsons (+1000). The Penn State product will show that his rookie marketing campaign was no fluke.

Edwards: Myles Garrett (+750). Garrett has had a minimum of 10 sacks in every of the previous 4 seasons, together with 16 a 12 months in the past. It’s a very aggressive award with Aaron Donald at all times being an element, T.J. Watt’s dominance and Micah Parsons’ rise to prominence. 

Dubin: Aaron Donald (+700). Donald is not only one of the best defensive participant, however greatest general participant within the NFL. As I say yearly after we do that train, I’ll choose him for DPOY each season till that’s now not clearly true. Someone else would possibly win, however he would be the league’s most impactful defender.

McCarriston: Myles Garrett (+750). I went backwards and forwards on this one, however I will give it to Myles Garrett this season. He’ll make a huge impact on an in any other case mediocre staff and is their greatest defensive participant. He’s coming off a stable 12 months, touchdown in third for sacks within the league with 16 and I feel he’ll put up comparable numbers this season.

See also  Press Briefing by Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre, September 23, 2022

Benjamin: Joey Bosa (+2000). Brother Nick in all probability will get much more love today, however now Joey has a motivated Khalil Mack on the opposite aspect. Buckle up.

Sullivan: Maxx Crosby (+4000). One other lengthy shot, however in the event you’ve been following me this offseason you already know I have been banging the drum for Crosby. Final 12 months, he totaled a league-leading 101 pressures and solely completed with eight sacks. That looks like a large disparity, which must be corrected in 2022 with the next sack whole. It additionally helps that Las Vegas introduced in Chandler Jones to free him up much more.

Breech: Michah Parsons (+1000). This award ought to in all probability be named after Aaron Donald as a result of he virtually at all times wins it, however I am not going to select him this 12 months. As a substitute, I am going with Parsons, who’s arguably already one of the best defensive participant on the Cowboys’ roster proper now. 

Comeback Participant of the 12 months greatest bets

Brinson: Christian McCaffrey (+900). Undecided why Derrick Henry is favored right here when CMC is more likely to hit the markers wanted to win the award. If he performs greater than 14 video games I feel he is bought an important probability to lock this award down given what number of video games he is missed the final two years. Particularly when Matt Rhule must be determined to offer him tons of touches. 

Danjani: Derrick Henry +450. Final 12 months, one of the best operating again within the NFL was on tempo to strategy 2,000 dashing yards for the second straight season earlier than his foot damage. Now again wholesome, he is once more going to have the chance to hold an offense. Henry led the league in rushes, yards and touchdowns in 2019 and 2020.

Edwards: Derrick Henry (+450). Henry has stayed wholesome for many of his profession. Final season’s damage should have followers and fantasy gamers alike on edge, however in comparison with different candidates and a comparatively mild workload in 2021, he’s going to have each alternative to win if accessible in that offense.

Wilson: Baker Mayfield (+1000). He performs with a chip on his shoulder and when he is wholesome he might be efficient. The Panthers’ offensive line was upgraded within the offseason and if Christian McCaffrey can keep wholesome, Mayfield might be in place to assist Carolina surpass its over/underneath win whole of 6.5 video games.

Dubin: Christian McCaffrey (+900). If he can lastly keep wholesome, he’ll as soon as once more be fairly clearly the NFL’s most efficient operating again. I feel that’ll be sufficient for this award.

McCarriston: Christian McCaffrey (+900). It is a danger, however I am going with Carolina Panthers operating again Christian McCaffrey. He has a historical past of accidents, so clearly staying wholesome might be key, but when that’s attainable I consider he’s slated for an enormous 12 months. McCaffrey has missed a lot time attributable to damage just lately, that when he’s on the sector I feel he’ll wish to make up for missed time.

Benjamin: Christian McCaffrey (+900). When he is wholesome, he is a game-changer. And Baker Mayfield might be leaning on him all 12 months as a security valve.

Sullivan: Christian McCaffrey (+900). There is a purpose McCaffrey goes to go inside the highest 3 in your fantasy soccer drafts this summer season. If he is wholesome, he is one of the crucial deadly weapons within the NFL. 

Breech: Christian McCaffrey (+900). When McCaffrey is wholesome, he is unstoppable and after battling accidents for 2 straight seasons, I feel McCaffrey will lastly keep wholesome this 12 months.