2022 NFL Week 3 Picks: Bengals and Texans choose up first wins, Payments blow out Dolphins

September 22, 2022

Two weeks into the season we nonetheless do not know something. Nicely, I take that again — I do know my report towards the unfold at the moment is not acceptable. We will work on that beginning in Week 3, which profiles as an actual fascinating alternative for some street groups with quick numbers, both as a favourite or as a tiny canine. 

There’s additionally a number of groups who’re at the moment winless, and the warmth goes to start out getting turned up in a short time for anybody who heads into Week 4 and not using a single victory to their title. 

I believe there is a respectable probability one or two of them find yourself selecting up that first win, together with each the Bengals and the Texans. Let’s get to the Week 3 picks. 

All NFL odds are through Caesars Sportsbook

NFL Week 3 Picks

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET
Stream:
Amazon Prime
Observe: CBS Sports activities App

Featured Recreation | Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

No clue how this sport finally ends up going over the entire of 38.5. Neither group is exceptionally explosive on offense and each defenses (regardless of lacking key cross rushers) are pretty stout. Extra importantly, the wind appears like it is going to be whipping largely all evening, upwards of 22mph for a lot of the night. That ought to imply quite a lot of runs, only a few passes and only a few factors. I am undecided how a lot decrease the entire can get, however I might again the Steelers getting factors and the below on this spot of offensively challenged AFC North rivals. 

The choose: Steelers 13, Browns 10

Props, Finest Bets: Below 38.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (One month free trial)

Featured Recreation | Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Payments

TuAnon is flourishing after two weeks and buddy-oh-buddy is there potential for Dolphins followers to come back out in full power with a house win towards the Payments right here. Miami might flagplant their curiosity in attempting to steal the AFC East with a win right here and Mike McDaniel’s COY odds can be roughly -150 with a win right here. I am inclined to again Buffalo however suppose the over will probably be a extra common play. The DFS possession on this sport will probably be outrageous after seeing the Payments offense and Miami’s comeback final week. This choose of mine isn’t fading Tua or Miami, it is merely a wager on the Payments being by far and away the most effective group in soccer and folks not catching as much as it but.

The choose: Payments 35, Dolphins 17

Props, Finest Bets: Go

Bengals at Jets

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (One month free trial)  

Featured Recreation | New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Jets and Joe Flacco shocked the world in Week 2 with a once-in-several-decades comeback towards the Browns. Persons are excessive on the Jets and low on the Browns. Nothing can be extra pleasant than seeing Cincy go down, if solely to look at John Breech sweat on the Decide Six Podcast (our each day NFL present, subscribe price and evaluation!). However Joe Burrow happening to 0-3 seems like a bit an excessive amount of given how fortunate the Jets have been the final two weeks by way of protecting issues shut. The Bengals OL is not nice, however the Jets cross rush is not as harmful because the Steelers and Cowboys. Climate forecast appears a bit sloppy for the New York space, however there’s some sneaky over potential right here if both group will get a lead and everybody has to start out throwing downfield. 

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The Decide: Bengals 28, Jets 21

Bets: Bengals -5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (One month free trial)  

Featured Recreation | Chicago Bears vs. Houston Texans

Tremendous low complete (40) and the road steaming in the direction of the Bears. This is not a straightforward one. Some daring individuals will roll Chicago for survivor swimming pools, however the Texans are too scary for me. They wish to *dangle round* and make issues awkward. The Broncos might have simply misplaced in Week 2 and the Colts ought to have misplaced in Week 1. I’ve no real interest in fading them towards a group with a questionable roster, a really questionable offense all whereas going through a Lovie Smith Revenge Recreation. 

The Decide: Texans 24, Bears 17

Bets: Go

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Featured Recreation | New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens

Completely up within the air based mostly on Lamar Jackson, who “vows” to play apparently. The overall right here feels suspiciously excessive to me. Patriots unders have been nice and Lamar is damage? Cannot contact it till we all know what Lamar’s standing truly is. 

The Decide: Ravens 24, Patriots 21

Bets: Nope

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (One month free trial)  

Featured Recreation | Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

The Colts should be in full-blown desperation mode at this level. A Week 1 tie towards the Texans adopted by a shutout from the Jaguars? And now the Chiefs are coming to city. Michael Pittman is huge to this sport — Indy wants somebody to threaten down the sector. The Chargers backdoored final weekend, however make no mistake the Chiefs are cooking on offense proper now. Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are principally concerned in a Zoolander-style dance off with Tyreek Hill at this level. Indy is extra determined, however the Chiefs are too rattling scorching proper now. 

The Decide: Chiefs 31, Colts 18

Bets: Chiefs -5.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Featured Recreation | Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions over is a wager this season till it does not hit. This group merely refuses to die and thusly leads to some form of shootout each week. Think about Dan Campbell yelling at you on the sideline — you do not take into consideration the scoreboard, you simply really feel such as you shotgunned 4 Purple Bulls in a row. Then you definately run on the sector and fake it is a one-score sport. 

The Decide: Lions 35, Vikings 31

Bets: OVER, OVER, OVER 

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
 FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here) 

Two very outstanding AFC playoff contenders have began off fairly sluggish this season. Which is a worse approach to get daggered — Kyler Murray runs 14 billion yards on fourth downs and two-point conversions to grab a win … or … benching your QB halfway via the third quarter of a MNF sport since you merely received overpowered? The Raiders are a very good group and I would not be stunned in the event that they received this sport or it simply changed into a random shootout. However I am backing the Titans on my “should you performed the Payments you are not as unhealthy as you look” principle right here. 

The Decide: Titans 31, Raiders 28

Bets: Titans +2, Over 45.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Featured Recreation | Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints

This sport is one thing else proper right here. The Panthers really feel like a One Pot whose timer went off an hour in the past or so. The stress is there massive time on Matt Rhule. That being mentioned, that protection is best than you suppose and the Saints offense may not have the ability to manufacture a ton on the street right here. 

The Decide: Panthers 18, Saints 15

Bets: Nope

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
 FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)   

Featured Recreation | Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Hefty unfold for a nasty NFC East rivalry. Such is the respect Vegas is giving the Eagles after two spectacular performances this season. Jalen Hurts was flashing breakout passing expertise final week and has actually good imaginative and prescient for working the ball. He avoids contact when he has to, however has a cagey-veteran high quality to his strikes close to the purpose line. Carson Wentz has flashed his upside the primary two weeks of the season. If Darius Slay trails Terry McLaurin, this could possibly be a monster sport for Jahan Dotson (once more). This could possibly be a possible shootout, actually. 

The Decide: Eagles 31, WFT 24

Bets: Over

Jaguars at Chargers

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (One month free trial)  

Featured Recreation | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are the right opponent for a Chargers dwelling sport. There will not be aggressive, in-stadium opponent noise. Jacksonville notoriously struggles on the West Coast. Justin Herbert’s sport standing is an enormous concern — there is a contact an excessive amount of optimistic smoke popping out of Los Angeles. I would not need to wager the Chargers with out understanding for sure Herbert was going to play this week. It is trying higher for him to go as of Thursday with Herbert training however I would not need to wager this sport till I noticed Herbert off the damage report or formally energetic. 

The Decide: Jaguars 24, Chargers 21

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Featured Recreation | Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons

Not the largest headliner for the afternoon slate, though it is a huge sport for each these groups so far as their respective seasons go. If the Seahawks have official hopes of creating the playoffs this can be a “must-win sport.” The Falcons, in the meantime, need to choose up their first win of the season. I will (maybe foolishly) hope Seattle comes out a bit extra aggressive a la Week 1 and finds a approach to choose up this win. I am unable to foresee a ton of factors right here. 

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The Decide: Seahawks 10, Falcons 9

Bets: Nope

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Featured Recreation | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Inexperienced Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers course corrected properly in Week 2, very equally to final season, one thing he famous after the sport. Tom Brady goes to be lacking just about his complete receiving corps. This complete — 42 — is outrageously low for a Rodgers/Brady matchup, however the below might be a fairly respectable look. I lean to the Packers as effectively, significantly with Akiem Hicks out of the lineup, as they will have the ability to run extra successfully than most opponents towards the Bucs. 

The Decide: Packers 17, Bucs 14

Bets: Go

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Featured Recreation | Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams

The Cardinals have zero enterprise sitting at 1-1 proper now. Kyler Murray working round like a maniac on fourth down and making miracle performs is just unsustainable. The Rams are being downgraded publicly due to Week 1’s blasting by the Payments after which. narrowly squeaking by the Falcons final week. However they took care of enterprise towards Atlanta earlier than shenanigans occurred and Buffalo simply could be a buzzsaw. The Cardinals are shorthanded at vast receiver and the Rams have the form of superstars to decelerate Kyler and restrict this passing assault. They will not cough up an enormous second half lead a la the Raiders both. 

The Decide: Rams 28, Cardinals 13

Bets: Rams -3.5

49ers at Broncos

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Featured Recreation | Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers

The last word purchase low spot for Denver’s offense right here. The Broncos cannot be any worse than what we have seen the primary two weeks proper? Sadly for them, the 49ers could have truly upgraded at QB (whereas decreasing the ceiling for his or her offense with the transfer from Trey Lance to Jimmy Garoppolo). San Francisco’s protection appears prefer it would possibly very effectively be an elite unite as soon as once more and I am not banking on Russell Wilson and Nathaniel Hackett course correcting in a single day.

The Decide: 49ers 21, Broncos 17

Bets: Below

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: 
ESPN, ABC | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Featured Recreation | New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

Are the Cowboys extra more likely to land on “Monday Night time Soccer” with Troy Aikman on the decision? It is a tough however extraordinarily essential NFC East battle between two groups of questionable pedigree. Cooper Rush successful back-to-back video games would not spur a QB controversy, however Jerry Jones says he “would stroll to New York” to ensure that Rush to play effectively sufficient to spark one when Dak Prescott returns. His logic is fairly sound. I am undecided if Rush will play that effectively right here, however I do suppose the Dallas protection can do sufficient injury to steal a street win with out Dak below heart. 

The Decide: Cowboys 17, Giants 14

Bets: Go