MLB’s high 2022-23 offseason storylines

August 24, 2022

Contenders are primed for the stretch run, whereas different golf equipment are already trying ahead to an offseason that guarantees to be a busy one.

That received us pondering: What is going to we be speaking about two-plus months from now, after Main League Baseball has topped its 2022 World Sequence champion?

Listed below are six storylines that determine to guide the headlines as soon as the Fall Basic ends.

1. Choose’s jury
The largest storyline this offseason would be the way forward for Aaron Choose, who positioned a giant guess on himself when he turned down a seven-year, $213.5 million extension from the Yankees previous to the season.

Choose’s guess has paid off in a significant approach, because the 30-year-old is posting MVP-caliber numbers for the first-place Yankees. Choose turns 31 in April and is believed to be in search of an eight- or nine-year deal value at the least $35 million per yr.

The Yankees would look like the apparent frontrunner to retain the slugger, however as soon as he hits the open market, something can occur. Mets proprietor Steve Cohen has the monetary wherewithal to make Choose an enormous provide, and stealing his crosstown rival’s finest participant can be an enormous coup for Cohen and the Mets.

The Giants have additionally been searching for a brand new face of the franchise, and contemplating San Francisco was in play for each Giancarlo Stanton and Bryce Harper lately — and the truth that the Giants have solely $14 million dedicated in payroll for 2023 (and nothing past then) — they might attempt to deliver the California native again residence.

2. Stars with choices
Some high-profile gamers can have the flexibility to choose out of their contracts this offseason, which might thrust some large names on to the free-agent market.

That deGrom would make such a transfer at age 34 after lacking greater than a yr with arm points would look like a danger, however contemplating that teammate Max Scherzer signed a three-year, $130 million contract at 37, he ought to land a deal that makes his present one appear to be a discount. The largest query is whether or not the Mets will retain deGrom, which might doubtless imply paying their high two starters greater than $80 million mixed in 2023 and ’24.

Carlos Correa can choose out of every of the ultimate two years and $70.2 million of his cope with the Twins, however the soon-to-be 28-year-old isn’t having an awesome yr, main many to consider he’ll stick with Minnesota and think about opting out after the 2024 season.

Correa’s former teammate, Justin Verlander, has already thrown sufficient innings to set off a $25 million participant possibility for 2023. Although he turns 40 in February, he’s the AL Cy Younger Award frontrunner, so Verlander might attempt to use his stellar season to get one other yr from the Astros and even check the free-agent market.

Nolan Arenado has 5 years and $144 million remaining on his contract, and whereas it appears unlikely that he’ll choose out of that deal, his robust 2022 season — and a comparatively weak crop of free-agent third basemen — might trigger him to contemplate it. On the very least, maybe Arenado might parlay the opt-out clause into an additional assured yr from the Cardinals.

Los Angeles will doubtless area affords for the two-way celebrity once more this winter, and given the state of the membership’s farm system — MLB Pipeline simply ranked it No. 30 in its midseason re-rank — and the truth that Ohtani has just one yr left earlier than changing into a free agent, it wouldn’t be surprising if the Angels dealt him for a haul of prospects. If Ohtani does develop into accessible and the Angels critically have interaction in negotiations, this might develop into the most important story of the offseason.

Tuesday’s information that proprietor Arte Moreno is exploring the opportunity of promoting the membership might additionally develop into an element, as a brand new proprietor would possibly need to make a run at signing Ohtani to a profitable extension.

4. To B, or to not B?
The Purple Sox may even have an opt-out clause to cope with this offseason, as Xander Bogaerts is anticipated to stroll away from the ultimate three years and $60 million remaining on his contract.

Bogaerts turns 30 on October 1, and whereas he’s having a stable season, this winter’s class of free-agent shortstops consists of Trea Turner and Dansby Swanson, in addition to Correa if he opts out.

Boston’s choice on how a lot to supply Bogaerts this offseason might come down as to if the Purple Sox consider they will lengthen Rafael Devers, who’s slated to develop into a free agent after the 2023 season.

Boston’s signing of Trevor Story final offseason offers the staff a alternative at shortstop ought to Bogaerts depart. Provided that Devers is 4 years youthful than Bogaerts, the frequent perception is that the Sox will attempt to hold Devers long-term and let Bogaerts stroll.

5. Shopping for in Baltimore
The Orioles have taken a giant step ahead in 2022, enjoying higher baseball than almost anyone anticipated. Baltimore sits within the coronary heart of the AL Wild Card race regardless of its small payroll, and whereas the children have infused vigor into the group, the entrance workplace is aware of that it should dip its toes available in the market if the staff desires to compete yearly. In actual fact, normal supervisor Mike Elias has even mentioned publicly he expects the O’s to be main gamers in free company.

“We’ll signal gamers this winter. I am very enthusiastic about it,” Elias mentioned after the Commerce Deadline. “I believe that it is liftoff from right here for this staff.”

The beginning rotation figures to catch the attention of the Orioles this offseason, as their 4.57 ERA ranks 14th within the AL. Including a bat or two — second base and the outfield seem to be pure areas Baltimore can enhance — is also on Elias’ want listing. You possibly can see a full listing of free brokers damaged down by place proper right here.

Díaz’s spectacular season might land him the most important free-agent deal for a more in-depth in historical past, exceeding the five-year, $86 million deal Chapman signed previous to the 2017 season. He might additionally break Liam Hendriks’ AAV report for a more in-depth of $18 million.