FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT
-
Close to‑common cereal manufacturing forecast in 2022
-
Cereal exports in 2022/23 forecast barely beneath common
-
Retail costs of wheat increased yr on yearCountry Briefs
Close to‑common cereal manufacturing forecast in 2022
Harvesting of the 2022 minor winter wheat crop was accomplished in August, whereas harvesting of the 2022 primary spring wheat, barley and maize crops is ongoing underneath general beneficial climate circumstances.
In the important thing wheat and barley producing northern areas, beneath‑common precipitation quantities in July 2022 negatively affected soil moisture ranges and resulted in beneath‑common vegetation circumstances in some crop lands (ASI map early August, proper earlier than the harvest).
The whole 2022 wheat manufacturing, together with winter and spring crops, is forecast at a close to‑common degree of 13.2 million tonnes, regardless of the big plantings, because the unfavourable climate circumstances negatively affected yields. The 2022 barley output is forecast at 3 million tonnes, about 10 p.c beneath the 5‑yr common degree as a result of a gradual decline in plantings lately and the influence of dry climate circumstances. Complete cereal manufacturing is forecast at a close to‑common degree of 18 million tonnes.
Planting of the 2023 winter wheat crop is anticipated to happen in October and November in the primary producing southern areas.
Cereal exports in 2022/23 forecast barely beneath common
Complete cereal exports within the 2022/23 advertising and marketing yr (July/June) are forecast at about 9 million tonnes, 5 p.c beneath the common quantity. Wheat exports are forecast at a close to‑common degree of 8 million tonnes, amid the common output anticipated in 2022 and the regular demand by importing nations. Against this, barley exports are projected at 600 000 tonnes, effectively beneath the common quantity.
On 13 September 2022, the federal government introduced the instant suspension of wheat and wheat flour export quotas. The restrictions had been initially launched on 14 April till 15 June 2022 and later prolonged by 30 September 2022 ( FPMA Coverage ).
Retail costs of wheat increased yr on yr
Nationwide common retail costs of first grade wheat flour remained general steady or elevated barely between February 2021 and February 2022. From March 2022 onwards, costs elevated steeply in step with seasonal traits, with additional upward strain offered by the introduction, on 14 March 2022, of a brief ban of exports of wheat and different cereals from the Russian Federation to the nations inside the Eurasian Financial Union FPMA Coverage ). In August 2022, home retail costs of first grade wheat flour have been 25 p.c increased yr on yr.
Retail costs of potatoes, one other meals staple within the nation, elevated steeply between February and June 2022, and declined sharply in July and August, in step with the season’s patterns.
